North atlantic ossilation

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Positive NAO Index

  • The Positive NAO index phase shows a stronger than usual subtropical high pressure center and a deeper than normal Icelandic low.


  • The increased pressure difference results in more and stronger winter storms crossing the Atlantic Ocean on a more northerly track.


  • This results in warm and wet winters in Europe and in cold and dry winters in northern Canada and Greenland


  • The eastern US experiences mild and wet winter conditions

Negative NAO Index

  • The negative NAO index phase shows a weak subtropical high and a weak Icelandic low.


  • The reduced pressure gradient results in fewer and weaker winter storms crossing on a more west-east pathway.


  • They bring moist air into the Mediterranean and cold air to northern Europe


  • The US east coast experiences more cold air outbreaks and hence snowy weather conditions.


  • Greenland, however, will have milder winter temperatures
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