Scenarios
From Wikireedia
They are not about predcting the future but explaing possoble outcomes
Used for long term planing to structure and order one's perceptions
Write a scenario
- Identify issues
- Identify scope (time frame)
- Est background PEST
- Identify driving forces behind issues
- identify critical uncertainties
- Combine driving forces and uncertainties to create alternative futures
- Validate alternative futures
- Analyse scenarios for similarities, differences dependence
- Develop strategy